Fiona and Snow Birds

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Paul Martin and Colin Rooke discuss the implications of natural disasters like Hurricane Fiona on the insurance industry.

Listen to the full episode here, or read the full transcript below.

Paul Martin:

Welcome to Risky Business, Commercial Insurance with Butler Byers. I’m Paul Martin, the host of this show and the business commentator on CKOM, and joining me as always our resident expert, the risk reduction specialist with Butler Byers, Colin Rooke. And Colin, welcome back. It’s great to chat with you again. And one thing about this program is we can follow current events pretty closely. So the thing that’s kind of been capturing attention from an insurance perspective anyway for the last little while is severe weather, more particularly Hurricane Fiona in Canada, and I guess Ian in the US as well. But hurricanes are top of mind and I’m wondering whether, does that have any implications for people in Saskatchewan where we don’t have any hurricanes, but do we need to be thinking about it anyway?

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, I mean, unfortunately we do. The data is out for Hurricane Fiona from the Insurance Institute or Insurance Bureau of Canada technically. And the insured estimates as of now are about 660 million in insured damage. Now that’s actually a relatively small figure compared to the actual damage, just due to the high number of homes that would be in flood plain areas where they actually couldn’t receive any hurricane or flooding insurance. So there’s a lot more damage out there and a lot of it’s going to fall the government. But yeah, 660 million in insured damage puts Hurricane Fiona as the costliest extreme weather event ever recorded in Atlantic Canada. But even more so Hurricane Fiona is now the 10th costliest extreme weather event ever. And again, that estimates only going to rise. And the biggest issue, I guess, for the insurance market and then ultimately the policy holder is just the frequency and severity of these weather events and how we just keep breaking records. Each year seems to be incrementally worse than the year before. And that’s not good, certainly for a property policy.

Paul Martin:

I mentioned Hurricane Ian when we were starting this and we’ll probably talk more about that a little later in the program because we do have another topic to look at and that’s about travel in the winter time. But as I look at this, I get the sense that there’s just been kind of year, after year, after year, isn’t it, that we’re getting these massive events the wildfires and floods in BC or Fort Mac or now hurricanes. The insurance industry’s been taking it on the chin for some time. And this is just one more. I’m wondering how the industry is holding up financially, like what do the treasuries look like and what does that mean for the rest of us?

Colin Rooke:

Yeah. So it’s a really good point. And again, with Hurricane Fiona being in the top 10 for natural disasters, for insurance payouts, and again, we’re early days, the real issue is the insured amount, these catastrophic losses, they keep growing in nature. As a good example, in the last three years, each year, catastrophic losses has exceeded two billion in insurance losses annually. And that number unfortunately keeps growing. It used to be a rarity, like you talk about the wildfires of Fort Mac, I believe that was 2016 four billion. And if you look throughout history, we’ve had some extreme events that of course have crept up, but they were separated by 10 years, 15 years, seven years. But now you look at recent events and again, total insured losses and it’s a bad trend. And again, when you’re looking at a property policy and all the Canadian domicile insurance markets, I mean, they’re all going to have a hand in Eastern Canada and the Maritimes. And so everyone’s affected. And so unfortunately, unless this trend turns around, I don’t see any real relief on property policies.

Paul Martin:

Sometime back when we were first talking about these things, say two or three years ago, I think you threw out some numbers back then that said insurance companies look to pay out 60 some cents for every dollar premium that comes in. Have they been able to keep up the premium increases to be able to cope with these big catastrophic events that you’re detailing? Or should we be expecting that the insurance companies are going to have to rebuild their financial balance sheets, their treasuries, and that rates have no option but to go up in a general context?

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, exactly. So although 2022 has proven to be a better year than 2020 and 21, we’re still a ways away from profitability. And certainly when you look at certain sectors like well, residential home insurance, and that is the challenge for the industry, that if they can’t return to profitability, if they can’t return to that sort of 60, 70% combined loss ratio and back into the profit, they really have no choice but to increase rates. Now if you’re saying, Well, yeah but I’m an Saskatchewan, I’m no where near a body of water. I didn’t suffer any effects from Fiona whatsoever. Why am I being penalized? I mean that would hold true if you were with some of the smaller insurers, some of the mutuals, that sort of thing. But I mean if you look at these large national insurance companies, the impacts from, again, the maritime, they’re certainly going to affect your policy here in Saskatchewan as they work to recoup insurance claims payout.

Paul Martin:

As we’re talking about this, we kind of created the impression, I think that this is mostly for homeowners and the residential side. I’m guessing that if you’re a property owner in the commercial side, if you’re a business you own a property, you’re probably going to feel the same effects here. Correct.

Colin Rooke:

You are. It’s strange. So when you look at Hurricane Fiona, and again, I won’t comment on, this is a broad statement, I don’t want to comment on every insurer in Canada sort of thing, but overland flooding, the impacts of bodies of water, it’s an easier coverage to get on a commercial policy. So when you look at the damage from Fiona, we are in a large part, sorry, when we’re talking about uninsured damage with Fiona, it’s going to be primarily homeowners that just really weren’t able to get this type of coverage. However, again, it’s all part and parcel. Right. At the end of the day, they’re going to say, Well, certain segments of our portfolio are more profitable than others. However, if overall a big insurance company is losing, they’re just going to have to make that up.

Paul Martin:

So generally speaking, a hurricane anywhere is not good news even if you’re in Saskatchewan. And I think about as we’re recording this, we had Fiona, we had Ian, there was a new one that just hit the west coast of Mexico and last year was considered to be a quiet hurricane season. Looks like we’re going to have a fairly active one this year. In all likelihood, we’re just beginning to talk about this story, right?

 

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, absolutely. And I don’t really have a solution. It’s going to take a lot of involvement from government and cooperation with the insurance industry, but until we can figure out sort of accurate pricing and work together on sort of where homes are permitted to be built and new construction and climate change, again, I don’t see this problem going away anytime soon.

Paul Martin:

So Colin, if I’m reading between the lines, is this kind of the first flag that goes up that says, here, put you on notice that we might be heading back into that hard market again?

Colin Rooke:

Yeah. Again, large insured losses, what they do is they’re a great reason, they’re a great rationale. I’d say, Paul, unfortunately the property insurance is going to go up another 30% this year. Reason being insured losses out in the maritimes, I’m sure you can imagine. And so it’s a good segue into the conversation as to a rationale for the increase. And so again, I’m not suggesting in any way that they’re not true, but it makes the rate increased conversation easier. And I think that insurance companies will use this as a means to, again, have rates creep up further.

Paul Martin:

Yeah. And people will attribute it to inflation. But in fact, it’s probably more about claims experience. All right. We got to take a little break, Colin. So if you don’t mind standing by. You’re listening to Risky Business, Commercial Insurance with Butler Byers. I’m Paul Martin. Back after this. Welcome back to Risky Business, Commercial Insurance with Butler Byers. Paul Martin here joined by Colin Rooke, the commercial risk reduction specialist with Butler Byers. Colin, before the break we talked about what the impact of hurricanes will be on premiums going forward, but I want to change subjects completely. It’s that time of year when there’s a little bit of snow in the province now and people are starting to think about snow and put the word bird together and those who can go South and the migration is about to begin. But and I’m just wondering if you’re a snowbird going South, clearly it’s been a while since we’ve done it. Just a reminder on what are all the insurance things you need to be thinking about while you’re away?

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, it’s funny because we think about, well, wouldn’t snowbirds sort of have their routine, a fixed routine and be aware of all the steps they need to take when they get ready for the big trip? But then you think back to COVID and it might have been quite some time since the last trip down South or trip anywhere for that matter. And so I think it’s important to just talk about some of the things that yeah, you need to think about. For example, when you are planning an extended trip, it’s very important that you talk to your insurance broker and explain, I’m going away for quite some time. It could be 90 days. What do I need to do? So that’s at a high level. Now, very specifically though, you’re going to want to think about, okay, there’s the traditional travel policy for short trips and then there’s more comprehensive policies for these extended stays.

And the policy is quite different. So it’s very important to talk to your broker about things like medical coverage including hospitalization and treatment, emergency return to Canada, reparation of a remain, things like that. Things that you may not have thought about in a long time. And again, certainly if you’re over 55, make sure you’re getting all the information you need around your health and what types of policies you need to purchase or what coverages you want to add in based on your extended trip. And again, just again, a reminder that very different from just a short term travel medical type policy.

Paul Martin:

Now, we always talk about commercial stuff here, but I’m assuming that Butler Byers is a qualified supplier of advice and policies for anyone who’s looking to travel for an extended period of time down South. But my guess is there’s likely some things that we assume, we just assume it’s good. If I take my car down to North Dakota for the weekend or something, my plate insurance covers me, blah, blah, blah. Is it the same thing if I’m going for all winter?

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, really good point and speaking of hurricane. So if you take a trip to the United States as a one-off, using the United States as an example, you do a oneoff trip. You are for the most part okay, and I say for the most part because I don’t want to comment on every auto carrier in Canada, but in a broad sense, you are okay to take your vehicle for a short trip to the United States as an example. Where you run into trouble though is again on an extended stay.

So if you say, Paul, I’m going to get out of here, I’m going to head to Florida for the winter and I’ll see you in April. And you bring your vehicle and you don’t mention it to your broker who in turn tells your auto provider that you’ll have a vehicle down there. When you phone your broker and report the claim and say, my SUV is completely underwater, what do I do? The insurance carrier’s going to say, well, we had no idea you were down there and we had no idea the vehicle we had insured is down there and we do not intend to pay for damages for a vehicle that was out of province for more than 60 days in this case. So again, very, very important to notify your broker on the vehicle. And there’s also a lot of strategies that you need to think about around your home condo belongings as well.

Paul Martin:

Yeah, I was going to go there. I mean, so if I go away for let’s say three months, I know in policies, in my experience, 21 days is something that kind of works on the medical side, the emergency medical side. Is there commonality? Is like 21 days when I should be calling my brokers, 60 days? I mean, what advice do you give to people about when do you want to be notified? I’m sure you don’t want to know about every weekend excursion across the line just to go for shopping, but your office would be inundated. But at some point, what advice do you give people about when you should call and when you shouldn’t call your broker?

Colin Rooke:

I think the biggest thing is the advice. If we’re talking about home insurance as an example, if you don’t know what you’re supposed to do, if you don’t know the ins and outs of your policy, I think it’s, well is very important that you reach out to someone and you ask those questions. Again for, well, in some cases short stays, but even extended stays, if you don’t have a plan to have someone check on your home regularly, you may find yourself in a situation where you’ve had a loss that would normally have been insured, but for whatever the reason you didn’t have someone look at your property, looked for broken windows, vandalism, burst pipes, that sort of thing to ensure it was winterized properly, you may be in a situation where you’re facing a decline.

And so for the seasoned snowbird traveler, I’m going to say most would a system in place to look after their belonging. However, if you haven’t thought about it in quite some time, or maybe you’re a new snowbird, maybe you retired during COVID and this is your sort of first extended trip and you’re not sure what to do about your home, reach out to someone and ask them, what do I have to do and what happens if I don’t do it and how much and how often? Just to make sure that when you come back from your extended stay, your home is intact, or at least in the event of a loss, you’re not looking at a denial.

Paul Martin:

I think you’re saying communication is a powerful tool in all of this and that deal with your broker more than once a year when your policy comes up for renewal. Actually they should be somebody that you talk to two or three times a year depending on your circumstance.

Colin Rooke:

Absolutely. And things change all the time. So again, with this, I call it the travel break from COVID, it’s really important to ask, has anything changed? I haven’t gone to Florida in some time. Is there anything new that I need to know about? And just get the proper information before you go. And that way again, you can enjoy your trip and rest assured that your belongings are protected.

Paul Martin:

Well, and I’m guessing from an insurance company’s perspective, and we’re just about out of time, so I’ll ask you for a quick response on this, but the demographics are the demographics and the baby boom generation is getting old and it’s a big bulge in our population. I’m assuming that this conversation around snowbirds is getting far more frequent because there’s just a bigger volume of people that are in a position to take advantage of getting away in the winter time.

Colin Rooke:

It is. And from my perspective, it just means a lot of vacant houses that may or may not be looked after. And so find someone, or if you’ve got friends work together, someone’s going to have a grandson that you can pay to every other day just check the whole group. Again, put a plan in place. If you have any questions on what to do, what travel medical insurance do I need, what do I do about my vehicle and certainly how to protect my home, reach out to someone at Butler Byers or your broker and get the proper advice you need. And just recognize that things have changed, things do change, and you may have fallen out of your routine.

Paul Martin:

Colin, as always very insightful information. Thank you very much, and we’ll talk to you again next time. You’ve been listening to Colin Rooke, the commercial risk reduction specialist with Butler Byers. I’m Paul Martin, this is Risky Business. Thanks for joining us.

Building Values

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Paul Martin and Colin Rooke discuss the connection between insurance and value.

Listen to the full episode here, or read the full transcript below.

Paul Martin:

Welcome to Risky Business Commercial Insurance with Butler Buyers. This is Paul Martin, the host of this show, I’m also the business commentator in CKOM, and joining me, my regular expert on this topic, Colin Rooke, the commercial risk reduction specialist with Butler Buyers. Colin, since we last talked, lots of big headlines, but the one on the commercial front that at least has been getting a lot of attention, and it’s almost like it just feels like this giant wave that will never break, interest rates and inflation, and all of the costs that are going up around, everything from supply chain interruptions, which elevated prices to the cost of money to you name it. I’m guessing that insurance is no different than any other sector of the economy that inflation has a bite here or has some implications. And often, we find in business that there’s a symptom and there’s an ailment. And so sometimes those two things are different.

We look at the symptoms all the time, but there’s ailments too, and what’s happening here? Are there things, aspects of this inflation story that your insurance customers are missing out on or not really on top of that we need to perhaps elevate today in today’s show, and bring their attention to it?

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, absolutely. We talked about the, in a previous show, inflation and how that’s going to impact the pricing around commercial insurance. We talked about the marketing or the market, sorry, is softening, or at least we’re seeing some normalization when it comes to rate. However, you still have clients saying, “Well, I don’t understand, why are my premiums still going up?” And we say, “Well, there’s the rate and then there’s the values. And so if we’re changing the value on the policy, but the rate assigning that value remains the same, you’re still going to pay more.” So we walk through that, but really I think it’s important to dive a little deeper and say, “Okay, well how do I know my values are right? What should I do? What’s going on in the industry and how that’s going to impact me?” And the biggest factor is insurance to value, and specifically when we’re talking about owned property and, then to a lesser degree, equipment and stock.

But it’s a term that’s brought up all the time in our industry among brokers and underwriters, and it’s a constant point of discussion. And it really means, insurance to value means that you are required to carry enough insurance to rebuild, call it, a building, with new like materials in today’s age, meaning you’ve got an old building, you’ve now got to bring that up to code, there’s different types of materials. And so certainly when you have, call it, out of control inflation and you’ve got input costs on the rise across many sectors, all sectors, really, it’s very important to make sure you’ve taken a look at the value of your building and you understand that we have the right number of value assigned, or in the event of a claim, you could be looking at a significant shortfall.

Paul Martin:

It’s an interesting thing because you talk about a double whammy, that business owners need to be on top of, which is rate increases, but also value increases. So it’s not one or the other, it can be both. And there’s no question we’ve seen the cost of construction go up, whether that’s for materials or now we’re increasingly seeing it in labor because of the labor shortages that are out there and prices are going up on that side too. How often should an insurance customer or a policyholder be getting ahold of you to say, “How often do I need to update these values?” Is it annual, Is it twice a year or is once every three years good enough? I mean, can you guide me on that a little bit?

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, so it’s really important that every year you’re having some discussion on values and what’s taking place in the marketplace. In fact, roughly 70% of commercial properties in Canada today are underinsured by 40% or more, to give you an idea of the magnitude of this problem. And so it’s important that you’re having that discussion, but then it’s also important, it’s not just good enough to say, “Well, we should have this talk, Colin. What number should I go in at?” It’s really important to bring in the experts too and have proper building appraisals done if you haven’t. And we would say on, call it, during regular times every three to five years, but now that we’re in this position of rampant and inflation and increased construction costs, I would recommend, frankly, you might want to do it every year or so, or make sure you’re working with a property evaluator or an appraiser that will give you ongoing updates.

So you may not need to do the whole valuation, but at least you’re getting market updates year over year, that based on what we saw, you should add 8%, you should subtract 7%. Something from a professional that says this is the number that we should be using. And you go from there.

Paul Martin:

I’m guessing that this leads to a failure to be this proactive, to have this independent third-party analysis done probably leads to all kinds of arguments between those who hold insurance policies and the insurance companies in the event of a claim. Am I right on that? Or I’m just guessing at that, but I’m assuming that this has the potential for all kinds of arguments.

Colin Rooke:

It is. And what we see all the time, you’ll speak to a client or a prospect or you’re doing the renewal and they say, “Oh yeah, we’ve done that. I’ve spoken to my commercial realtor.” And then they looked at neighbouring properties and the value they’re suggesting is $1 million. The problem with that, and it happens all the time, is that’s considered market value. That has nothing to do with replacement value, insurance to value. So what you could sell your building for in the open market is based on elements like lot size, building condition, location desirability, that sort of thing. The cost to rebuild that piece of property, regardless of market conditions, is irrelevant. And frankly, often there’s a very large spread. We also run into the same similar, I guess, rationale, let’s say, “Well, I pay property tax and my new property tax amount is based on the assessed value. And so that’s what I want to use, again, for the reconstruction cost.” But again, that has nothing to do with building codes, new like materials, debris removal, architects, engineering, all that would be required to rebuild that structure.

It’s just based on, frankly, an outdated models that municipalities use just to assess what they should be charging you in property tax. So again, if you’re relying on either of those numbers, you’re probably, again, going to run into a situation where there’s a claim and there’s a significant gap in coverage.

Paul Martin:

I hear you saying that, hey, we’re in an inflationary environment right now, and prices are going up quite a lot over a wide range, and not everything, the price of lettuce does not go up at the same pace as a price of a house. So I mean, you really do need to be conscious of this, and it’s just plain good business management to be on top of it and update your own balance sheet, and just take a look at what properties do I own and what’s a current valuation on them. It’s really just good prudent management, isn’t it?

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, it is. And one more shortfall too that you’ll run into is insurance companies will add inflation, as we discuss, in most cases, at renewal to make sure that there’s some attempt to keep up with, again, rising costs. But those are set and often they’re set Canada wide, and so they’re not designed to ensure your building is properly insured, it’s just designed to do something. So usually, renewal inflationary increases are 3 to 5%, and that’s okay for the most part, but when you run into situations like we’re in today, and we have, again, the insurance company saying, “We’ll just add 3% every single year to the building equipment stock,” you’re going to realize that there could be a sizeable shortfall using that method.

Paul Martin:

Well, on a fascinating conversation, we’ve got to take a little break and I do want to pick this up when we get back because you raised some very interesting points here. You’re listening to Colin Rooke, the commercial risk reduction specialist with Butler Buyers. This is Risky Business back after this.

Welcome back to Risky Business Commercial Insurance with Butler Buyers. This is Paul Martin, and joining me, Colin Rooke, the commercial risk reduction specialist with Butler Buyers. Before the break, Colin, you raised a very interesting, excuse me, an important point, I think, which is not all markets are alike. Insurance companies tend to set prices for a national experience. But let’s face it, the price of buildings in Toronto is different than they are here. And prices here have been quite stable, prices in Toronto are starting to fall. So as a business owner and a property owner, you really do need to stay on top of your own individual circumstances. You simply can’t rely on the insurance company to come up with a blanket national figure, you’ll miss the mark.

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, and you made a good point too, that when you work with a property appraiser, it’s not all bad news. It’s not just every single year, it’s up, up, up. So you could have market conditions increase where the value of your building has increased should you sell it, however, construction cost can and do often decrease where the update they’re providing would be you are significantly overinsured. And so it’s really important to wrap your head around, I want to make sure I’m buying what I need, nothing more, nothing less. And this isn’t just a gimmick to say, “Well, we want you to just keep adding to the value and paying more and more and more with no end in sight.” It very much and often does decrease. For example, if you looked at the cost of lumber from about 18 months ago to today, now, the cost of lumber still is over from three years ago, but it is half that from 18 months ago.

So in the event, again, you had regular building appraisals completed with updates, your building could see a decrease just based on the pricing of lumber alone. And so again, it is good business practice and it’s part of our risk assessment process where we talk about these things. Are you keeping proper appraisals? And then here’s the reason why, and here’s how it’s going to impact your business long term. And then from there, we categorize that into physical risk and we work on a plan to address those.

Paul Martin:

That’s an interesting point because one of the things that’s going around in the back of my head here is if Colin’s giving me advice that, while it makes sense and all my other suppliers are telling me similar things, “Inflation has changed the landscape,” and I got so many duties and responsibilities to keep up to I’m not sure I can, and still run my business at the same time. So I’m wondering, you alluded to this I think, but I’d like you to clarify, your risk reduction system, your step-by-step plan actually provides some support for me as a policyholder to A, get reminders, but B, just to stay on top of this thing.

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, absolutely. Our risk reduction system is designed to cover business risk, which is anything that impacts day-to-day operations. We address strategic risk, so anything that would impact long-term viability, and we also talk about physical risk, anything that would cause a physical loss to the business. And proper building valuations is part of that physical loss, so it’s part of every risk reduction workshop we will walk our clients through to say, “Are you up to speed? Are you doing this? Are you uniquely aware of the value of your buildings? How often are you looking at it? And then here’s the potential physical risk to you should you choose to do nothing.” And that’s all part of our process of identifying risk, organizing risk in a different categories, quantifying risk. So that’s us saying, again, here’s the cost of doing nothing and then prioritizing risk where we say, “Okay, from going through this process, we feel as a group, not just us telling our clients, but we’ve agreed together there could be a significant shortfall on the value of your property. And so item one is going to address that quickly.”

Paul Martin:

Yeah, as I’m listening to you, I’m thinking this just makes so much sense because market conditions change and we need to be not on top of them only for, if I could call it outward looking stuff, business we’re trying to generate, but also to protect the assets that we already have inside our organization are already listed on our balance sheet. And I guess I’m going to come back to this what can Colin do or what can Butler Buyers do to help. And what are you encouraging your clients to do or prospects to say, “Dial us up, we’ll have a chat on this”? I’m guessing you just say, “We’d welcome the opportunity to have that conversation.”

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, absolutely. It’s all part of our risk reduction workshop. If anyone has any questions on the process or specifically just wants to talk building valuations, they can reach out and we’ll walk them through and we’ll give our opinion on their current level of preparation and the potential value of their properties.

Paul Martin:

If, like everything else in this economy today which is being stretched, we simply don’t have enough human resources to go across the waterfront, you’re hearing about job vacancies, that kind of stuff, am I right in assuming that probably those who are charged with property appraisals are feeling the same kind of pressure? And so I actually need to get organized about this and make an appointment, I can’t just phone them and say, “Can you come over in 20 minutes?” I’m guessing that their dance card’s pretty full too. Is that your experience?

Colin Rooke:

Yeah, I mean, that’s a good point. Like anything, it’s one of those ‘Get to it now’. Because if you’re listening to this show and saying, “You know what? I think I’m underinsured. And in fact I really haven’t thought about this and I got to get to it.” Like anything, you’re right, there’s going to be probably a longer runway. I mean, there’s some fantastic firms out there and they will, I think, prioritize based on urgency. But you’re right, anything, you should give it plenty of time.

Paul Martin:

Just wise advice here, just be on top of the files. And I guess if nothing else, this program today just reminds people of another thing they need to look at when they’re any business owner or chief financial officer or someone that’s responsible for the insurance purchases at their business, that, yeah, here’s one more thing to put on your list. And this program identifies a lot of those, but this is a new one and it’s a direct result of changing market conditions, and what we call inflation.

Colin Rooke:

And if I can add one more thing, in the event of a loss, you’re required to rebuild the building, call it, with like material. So for those out there with an old historic or heritage building, you might think, “Well, the market would pay me a million dollars, but the reconstruction cost might be 15 due to the materials it was made from.” For example, imported limestone rock. So if you fall into that category, you own an old building or a building with unique features and you haven’t done this, you need to get on it.

Paul Martin:

Colin, as always, very insightful and timely advice and just great reminders for those of us who are in business. You’ve been listening to Colin Rooke, the commercial risk reduction specialist with Butler Buyers. This is Risky Business, I’m Paul Martin. Thanks for joining us, and we’ll talk to you next time.